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Causality Is Fate, Bayes Is Fortune: The Ultimate Guide to Navigating Life

Chapter 1: Decoding Life’s Underlying Operating System

Have you ever felt lost, as if life were governed by an invisible net? On one hand, you hear adages like “character is destiny” and “your choices matter more than your effort,” suggesting everything is predetermined. On the other, you encounter sentiments like “life is unpredictable” and “luck is a part of skill,” which point to a world of randomness and uncertainty. We swing between these two seemingly contradictory ideas, sometimes feeling powerless, other times confused, as if struggling between a fixed track and an unknown wilderness.